
Thomas Sowell, the acclaimed American economist, has a famous quote regarding inflation. Sowell said “It is a way to take people’s wealth from them without having to openly raise taxes. Inflation is the most universal tax of all.” The Federal Reserve officially interprets its price stability mandate as a 2% long-term inflation target. As the charts below from Charlie Biello of Creative Planning illustrate, we are now at 67 consecutive months above 2%.

The cumulative effect this has on everyday products and services is eye opening.

Another famous Sowell quote on the destruction of savings caused by inflation: “Inflation is a hidden tax. The money people have saved is robbed of part of its purchasing power, which is quietly transferred to the government that issues new money.” One of the biggest issues facing retirees, and something we discuss and analyze with our client, is “how will your savings hold up over the 20-30 years of retirement.” If you are planning to spend $100,000 a year in retirement on all expenses, if inflation were to remain constant at 3.5% over the next 30 years, the table below breaks down the nominal budget required to match your current lifestyle alongside the progressive destruction of your purchasing power.

While this information can seem daunting and scary, proper planning can and will put you on the proper path to success. We are here to help!
“This presentation is not an offer or solicitation to buy or sell securities. The information contained in this presentation has been compiled from third party sources and is believed to be reliable, but its accuracy is not guaranteed and should not be relied upon in any way, whatsoever. Fagan portfolio characteristics and holdings are subject to change at any time and are based on a representative portfolio. Holdings and portfolio characteristics of individual client portfolios may differ, sometimes significantly, from those shown. This information does not constitute, and should not be construed as, investment advice or recommendations with respect to the securities listed.
Additional information including management fees and expenses is provided on our Form ADV Part 2. The actual return and value of an account fluctuate and, at any time, the account may be worth more or less than the amount invested. Bond Investments are affected by interest rate changes and the credit-worthiness of the issues held in the portfolio. A rise in interest rates will cause a decrease in the value of fixed income positions. Past performance results are not indicative of future results.”

With Halloween just around the corner, it may be hard to believe but it’s time to start looking at end of year planning. In lieu of a traditional chart this week, we thought it would be a good idea to remind everyone of some year-end “tricks” that could lead to some “treats” down the road! In actuality, there are no tricks here just good sound financial planning tips as the year winds down, many of which we are actively working on for and with clients as we type this.
Top 10 Financial Planning Tips for Year-End
As noted above, many of these year-end tasks such as RMDs and Rebalancing are well underway in our office, and you may have seen the related activity in your accounts. If you have any questions about any of the above or wonder if you are a candidate, don’t be “scared” to give us a call to discuss!
“This presentation is not an offer or solicitation to buy or sell securities. The information contained in this presentation has been compiled from third party sources and is believed to be reliable, but its accuracy is not guaranteed and should not be relied upon in any way, whatsoever. Fagan portfolio characteristics and holdings are subject to change at any time and are based on a representative portfolio. Holdings and portfolio characteristics of individual client portfolios may differ, sometimes significantly, from those shown. This information does not constitute, and should not be construed as, investment advice or recommendations with respect to the securities listed.
Additional information including management fees and expenses is provided on our Form ADV Part 2. The actual return and value of an account fluctuate and, at any time, the account may be worth more or less than the amount invested. Bond Investments are affected by interest rate changes and the credit-worthiness of the issues held in the portfolio. A rise in interest rates will cause a decrease in the value of fixed income positions. Past performance results are not indicative of future results.”

As we sit near all time highs in the stock market, talking diversification and broadening out your portfolio can be hard to implement. Why sell the holdings that have treated you so well?
However, as you can see by the chart below, provided by YCharts, from the end of 1999 through 2007, a $10,000 investment in the S&P 500 grew to just $11,409, including reinvested dividends. Meanwhile, emerging markets reached $31,260, small-cap value climbed to $25,830, and mid-cap value rose to $25,120. Developed international stocks also finished ahead of the S&P 500. Overconcentration in a particular index or sector could be detrimental to your portfolio, especially when factoring in distributions as well as the possibility of a poor sequence of returns.

Currently, we are in a period of concentration we have never seen before. According to The Compound, the top 5 S&P 500 stocks (NVDA, AAPL, GOOGL, MSFT, AMZN) are now equal in market cap to the bottom 434 stocks as Doug mentioned on the radio show last Sunday. This has worked out well for those of us who have been invested in these companies. Going forward, diversification may not be the most profitable thing to do, but t is the right thing to do. When you are at or near retirement, you give up performance for stability, and that is what diversification does. Combining diversified equities with appropriate bonds and cash reserves can help reduce pressure to sell stocks during difficult markets and gives you flexibility when distributing assets.
“This presentation is not an offer or solicitation to buy or sell securities. The information contained in this presentation has been compiled from third party sources and is believed to be reliable, but its accuracy is not guaranteed and should not be relied upon in any way, whatsoever. Fagan portfolio characteristics and holdings are subject to change at any time and are based on a representative portfolio. Holdings and portfolio characteristics of individual client portfolios may differ, sometimes significantly, from those shown. This information does not constitute, and should not be construed as, investment advice or recommendations with respect to the securities listed.
Additional information including management fees and expenses is provided on our Form ADV Part 2. The actual return and value of an account fluctuate and, at any time, the account may be worth more or less than the amount invested. Bond Investments are affected by interest rate changes and the credit-worthiness of the issues held in the portfolio. A rise in interest rates will cause a decrease in the value of fixed income positions. Past performance results are not indicative of future results.”