Chart Talk: August 14th, 2024

Dennis
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We have received numerous emails and telephone calls fromclients regarding recent transactions within their portfolios and thought it agood idea to respond via our weekly Chart Talk.  Other than transactions intended to maximizeportfolio return within the stated objective of our client, Fagan Associatesperiodically takes the time to rebalance portfolios to keep it in line with thestated objectives of the client or to reduce risk.  Portfolio rebalancing entails adjusting theweight of different assets and/or asset classes within the portfolio.

“For example, Figure 1 shows how a portfolio that startedout as a moderate risk portfolio in 2003, with 60% stocks and 40% bonds, wouldhave drifted to 69% stocks and 31% bonds by the end of 2007 if it were neverrebalanced. That means that it had become a riskier portfolio, with higherexpected volatility, just before the global financial crisis hit. The resultwould have been a bumpier ride than intended as stocks declined sharply in 2008and 2009.

By the time the market reached its bottom in 2009, stockdeclines had caused the portfolio to drift to a 50/50 mix, with less stocks anda more conservative allocation than intended right before the market recoverybegan. That left the portfolio not positioned with the intended level of riskto fully take advantage of the strong returns that typically occur in the earlystages of a recovery. By the end of 2013, the portfolio would have drifted to71% stocks and 29% bonds. And by the end of 2018, it would have held 76% stocksand just 24% bonds, shifting from the intended moderate risk portfolio to anaggressive portfolio even more overweight stocks than before the financialcrisis.”  (Source, Charles Schwab &Company)

Source: Charles Schwab Investment Management with datafrom Morningstar, Inc.  Stocks arerepresented by the S&P 500 Index. Bonds are represented by the BloombergBarclays U.S. Aggregate Bond Index. The example is hypothetical and providedfor illustrative purposes only.

By keeping a portfolio in line with the stated objectivesof the client, Fagan Associates removes the emotions from the equation duringperiods of market corrections as well during those periods where greed takeshold, potentially allowing for smoother ride with perhaps less risk.

This presentation is not an offer or solicitation to buy or sell securities. The information contained in this presentation has been compiled from third party sources and is believed to be reliable, but its accuracy is not guaranteed and should not be relied upon in any way, whatsoever. Fagan portfolio characteristics and holdings are subject to change at any time and are based on a representative portfolio. Holdings and portfolio characteristics of individual client portfolios may differ, sometimes significantly, from those shown. This information does not constitute, and should not be construed as, investment advice or recommendations with respect to the securities listed.

Additional information including management fees and expenses is provided on our Form ADV Part 2. The actual return and value of an account fluctuate and, at any time, the account may be worth more or less than the amount invested. Bond Investments are affected by interest rate changes and the credit-worthiness of the issues held in the portfolio. A rise in interest rates will cause a decrease in the value of fixed income positions. Past performance results are not indicative of future results.”

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